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Polskie Stowarzyszenie Bitcoin

Bitcoin Halving: What Will Traders Gain?


Upcoming Third Bitcoin Halving Rewards for Miners

The upcoming third Bitcoin halving rewards for miners are currently generating more interest than the traditional supply reduction effect. The significant purchasing power of ETF funds exceeds the expected impact on the market from the halving. Therefore, it is necessary to balance the historical influence of halving with the modern impact of ETFs on the availability and price of Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Supply Dynamics Shaped by Long-Term Investors

In the current phase of the market cycle, the supply dynamics of Bitcoin are increasingly being shaped by the decisions of Long-Term Holders (LTHs). Their choices regarding selling or holding can significantly influence market liquidity and sentiment. Therefore, traders should monitor the Long-Term Holder Market Inflation indicator to anticipate market changes and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Traders Face New Challenges

Current market conditions present traders with new challenges. The current Bitcoin cycle is deviating from historical norms, where the largest digital asset in the market not only experienced rapid growth this quarter but also reached an all-time high before the halving for the first time in history.

ETFs and Bitcoin Market Dynamics

ETFs introduce their own complexities to market dynamics. It is crucial to continue monitoring ETF activity, both purchases and potential sales, to anticipate market movements in relation to the upcoming halving.

Price Volatility Surrounding Bitcoin Halving

An approach to selling before the halving can lead to significant price corrections due to psychological factors. Sometimes the market reacts to halving as a “sell-the-news” event, leading to significant price corrections shortly after the event.

Market Monitoring for Trading Success

The current Bitcoin cycle may have a shorter duration than previous ones. It is advisable to monitor price corrections and observe the behavior of market participants, including institutional and long-term investors, to adjust trading strategies to avoid mistakes resulting from the halving effect.

Summary: Key Elements for Bitcoin Trading Success

Success in trading at this stage of the cycle will depend on a multifaceted approach, taking into account ETF activity and the behavior of long-term investors. Adapting trading strategies to these influences will be crucial for effectively navigating the subsequent stages of the Bitcoin market cycle.